Why the Pakistan Army Is Losing Its Grip on Balochistan

Why the Pakistan Army Is Losing Its Grip on Balochistan

Pakistan's political theater just hit a boiling point that the military establishment cannot easily ignore. When Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam-Fazl (JUI-F) chief Maulana Fazlur Rehman stood up and openly targeted the military leadership, he did not just drop a political bomb. He voiced an uncomfortable reality that has been whispering through the corridors of Islamabad for months. By daring Army Chief General Asim Munir to take off his uniform and face the voters in an election, Rehman exposed the deep fractures in the country's governance model. He declared flatly that the state has effectively lost control over Balochistan.

This isn't just standard political grandstanding. It's a direct challenge to the hybrid governance model that has defined Pakistani politics over the last few years. The civilian facade is cracking, and the military's traditional tools of control are failing to yield results in the country's most volatile province.

The Core of the Confrontation

The sudden escalation from civilian politicians marks a major shift. For a long time, mainstream political parties walked a fine line, criticizing the military's political interference through vague hints and metaphors. That era is over. Rehman's explicit demand for the army chief to step out from behind the shield of institutional immunity and join the electoral battlefield shows a dramatic drop in fear.

The friction stems from a basic disagreement over how to handle the security crisis in Balochistan. The military establishment believes in a heavy-handed security approach. They rely on direct operations, kinetic force, and centralized control. On the flip side, local political leaders see the endless security checkpoints, disappearances, and local resource exploitation as the root causes of the rebellion. When the state treats a political problem purely as a counterterrorism issue, it alienates the very people it needs to win over.

The Cost of Operation Shaban

Look at the latest security developments. The state recently launched Operation Shaban, a massive military offensive in Balochistan designed to crush insurgent networks after a wave of deadly attacks on security posts. Official figures state that the military killed over a hundred suspected militants during the intensive week-long operation.

On paper, the state claims victory. They point to the body counts and the dismantled hideouts as proof of success. In reality, these kinetic operations often create more problems than they solve. Every drone strike that hits a rural area, every village placed under sudden lockdown, and every incident of collateral damage adds fuel to the local anger. You cannot shoot your way out of an insurgency that is driven by deep economic deprivation and a complete lack of political rights.

The military's reliance on force has turned Balochistan into a zone of permanent crisis. Main highways are frequently blocked by local protesters. Relatives of missing persons march for weeks to demand basic legal accountability. The state's response is almost always the same: shut down the internet, block access to the media, and accuse local activists of working for foreign intelligence agencies. It's an outdated playbook that doesn't work anymore.

Why the Hybrid Governance Model Is Fracturing

The civilian government led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif operates under what analysts call the Munir model. This arrangement centralizes major decision-making powers within the military command structure. It gives the army chief an official role in economic planning, foreign policy, and internal security management. The goal was to create a unified front to stabilize the country's collapsing economy and handle rising militancy.

Instead, this concentration of power has stripped the civilian administration of its legitimacy. When the public realizes that elected officials have no real say over taxation, security, or regional trade, they stop trusting the system entirely.

Rehman capitalised on this widespread disillusionment. He pointed out that the military cannot claim absolute authority over governance while escaping accountability for security failures. If the army wants to run the economy and dictate terms to parliament, its leaders should strip off their badges, register a political party, and see if the public actually wants them in power.

The Failure of Regional Counterterrorism Initiatives

The security crisis isn't limited to Balochistan. The broader frontier region along the Afghan border is facing similar instability. The state regularly blames the interim Afghan Taliban regime for harboring militants who launch cross-border raids into Pakistan. While foreign safe havens are a genuine problem, using external blame to cover up internal governance failures is a weak strategy.

Local populations in the western provinces are caught between militant violence and heavy-handed state crackdowns. In neighboring regions, groups like the Joint Awani Action Committee have held massive protests against inflation, unfair resource allocation, and heavy militarization. When the state responds with force, arrests activists, and delays the return of bodies after security operations, it completely shatters the social contract.

The strategy of arming local militias to fight insurgents has also backfired tremendously. Civilian leaders warn that creating pro-government militias only deepens local tribal vendettas and spreads lawlessness. Counterterrorism is the job of trained law enforcement agencies operating under the rule of law. Passing that responsibility to private citizens is an admission that the official security apparatus is failing.

Real Steps Toward Stabilization

The path out of this crisis requires a complete reversal of the current governance strategy. The military must withdraw from active political engineering and return to its constitutional role. As long as the army chief is managing population control committees and economic investment boards, the core duties of border security and intelligence gathering will suffer.

Parliament needs to reclaim its role as the primary decision-making body in Pakistan. This means the civilian government must have the final say on budget allocations, regional trade policies, and counterterrorism strategies.

Economic grievances in Balochistan must be addressed directly, not through empty promises. The province produces a massive share of the country's natural gas and minerals, yet its population remains among the poorest in South Asia. Local communities must receive a fair share of the revenues generated from their lands.

Legal accountability is non-negotiable. The practice of enforced disappearances must stop immediately. If individuals are suspected of terrorism, they must be produced in open court, provided legal representation, and tried under the law. Secret detentions only breed radicalism.

The political leadership must initiate direct, unconditional talks with local Baloch leaders and aggrieved factions. Military operations can neutralize immediate threats, but they cannot build a lasting peace. True stability comes from political inclusion, economic justice, and respect for civilian supremacy.

EH

Ella Hughes

A dedicated content strategist and editor, Ella Hughes brings clarity and depth to complex topics. Committed to informing readers with accuracy and insight.